Prediction markets platform Kalshi announced that it has established a new office in Washington, D.C. to bolster its strategic lobbying efforts with the U.S. government.
With the new office, Kalshi hired John Bivona as the company’s first head of federal government relations, according to its press release. Bivona, a political strategist with over 20 years of experience, previously served as the first White House liaison at the Department of Homeland Security during the Biden administration.
To lead its state policy efforts, Kalshi hired Blake Bee, a former senior manager of state and local public policy at Amazon, where he engaged with state attorneys general.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission-regulated platform is currently the world’s largest prediction market by monthly volume, reporting $6.58 billion in December. Rival platform Polymarket reported $2.28 billion.
Kalshi saw a significant surge in volume starting in September 2025, coinciding with the start of the U.S. National Football League season. According to CEO Tarek Mansour, Kalshi recorded about $441 million in volume in the first four days following the NFL kickoff last year.
Legal hurdles
Despite the success and its status as a federally licensed exchange, Kalshi has faced state-level pushback on its sports event contracts. Multiple U.S. states, including Arizona, Tennessee, Connecticut and Massachusetts, have taken enforcement actions against Kalshi, claiming that its sports event contracts constitute unlicensed sports gambling under state laws.
Legal developments have varied by state. In Nevada, a federal judge ruled late last year that Kalshi must comply with the state’s gaming rules, rejecting the company’s argument that CFTC oversight preempts state regulation of sports-related contracts. Kalshi is currently appealing this ruling.
Meanwhile, a federal judge in Tennessee ordered the state’s sports wagering council and attorney general to temporarily halt efforts to block Kalshi’s sports contracts.
Some state regulators have widened their enforcement to include Polymarket and Crypto.com. Ongoing state-level regulatory friction remains a critical barrier to prediction market expansion.
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